Last Defense Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (French): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1017 | 43% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 967 | 953 | 52% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1128 | 1081 | 57% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1065 | 37% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
| 748 | 1021 | 17% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 939 | 1223 | 16% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1098 | 34% | 2014-03-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 929 | 1055 | 33% | 2003-10-19 | Won |
| 1128 | 1065 | 59% | 2001-12-09 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1122 | 38% | 1999-02-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 985.3 vs 1069.3 has a 38.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).