Last Defense Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (French): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1017 | 44% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 972 | 956 | 52% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1131 | 1082 | 57% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1065 | 37% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1021 | 53% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 939 | 1226 | 16% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1100 | 34% | 2014-03-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2013-04-25 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 999 | 1106 | 35% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 953 | 1055 | 36% | 2003-10-19 | Won |
| 1068 | 969 | 64% | 2002-07-05 | Won |
| 1139 | 1065 | 60% | 2001-12-09 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1127 | 38% | 1999-02-06 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1997-06-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1000.9 vs 1067.5 has a 40.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).