Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 191 (40 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 110
Defender wins (German): 80
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 885 | 49% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 837 | 1040 | 24% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1170 | 26% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 1001 | 48% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 1098 | 40% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1097 | 955 | 69% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1019 | 61% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 980 | 932 | 57% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 973 | 1035 | 41% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1210 | 986 | 78% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 986 | 1079 | 37% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 998 | 920 | 61% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1139 | 35% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 983 | 56% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1150 | 929 | 78% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1098 | 1131 | 45% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1098 | 55% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 1098 | 1131 | 45% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
| 1108 | 977 | 68% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1131 | 45% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 989 | 65% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1098 | 26% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
| 969 | 1251 | 16% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
| 1251 | 902 | 88% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 1251 | 1286 | 45% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
| 992 | 980 | 52% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1233 | 1086 | 70% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1120 | 31% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1342 | 1281 | 59% | 2001-06-24 | Won |
| 1067 | 1113 | 43% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
| 1156 | 1263 | 35% | 1997-10-18 | Lost |
| 1127 | 978 | 70% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
| 1051 | 1253 | 24% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1057.1 has a 49.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).