The Road to Gora
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (7 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1093 | 30% | 2023-10-22 | D | Lost |
| 949 | 1093 | 30% | 2023-10-22 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2021-03-23 | | Won |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2014-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2002-01-17 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 1997-05-04 | | Won |
| 1196 | 866 | 87% | 1996-09-01 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1008.4 vs 1004.6 has a 50.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).