Mike Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (13 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 16
Defender wins (German): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1054 | 1149 | 37% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1129 | 41% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 976 | 65% | 2020-01-20 | Won |
| 976 | 1084 | 35% | 2019-12-30 | Lost |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1105 | 982 | 67% | 2015-07-28 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2011-08-14 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1038 | 61% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
| 1142 | 939 | 76% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
| 1102 | 1069 | 55% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1065.3 has a 48.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).