Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 15
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1010 | 47% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 809 | 904 | 37% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
| 1007 | 1139 | 32% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1118 | 64% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
| 980 | 975 | 51% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
| 859 | 1001 | 31% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
| 1144 | 881 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 1236 | 1068 | 72% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 1021 | 61% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
| 929 | 1036 | 35% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1125 | 38% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 1283 | 1271 | 52% | 2004-07-22 | Won |
| 969 | 1140 | 27% | 1999-10-07 | Won |
| 1097 | 1041 | 58% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
| 980 | 1039 | 42% | 1997-06-08 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1173 | 40% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
| 1204 | 939 | 82% | 1995-07-29 | Lost |
| 1204 | 881 | 87% | 1993-06-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 1154 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1037.5 has a 51.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).