Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 13
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1011 | 49% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 814 | 882 | 40% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 848 | 880 | 45% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
| 1001 | 1119 | 34% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1133 | 61% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
| 1014 | 975 | 56% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
| 941 | 1001 | 41% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1149 | 41% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
| 1149 | 882 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
| 1100 | 976 | 67% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
| 928 | 1030 | 36% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1124 | 37% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 1097 | 1037 | 59% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1119 | 55% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
| 1129 | 934 | 75% | 1995-07-29 | Lost |
| 1129 | 881 | 81% | 1993-06-04 | Won |
| 1069 | 1119 | 43% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1013.3 has a 54.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).