Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 356 (23 on the archive and 333 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 144
Defender wins (Russian): 212
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2014-12-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2013-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2009-08-09 | | Lost |
| 881 | 1000 | 34% | 2009-05-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2007-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2005-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2005-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1052 | 57% | 2005-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1153 | 29% | 2005-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2002-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2002-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-08-25 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1999-10-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1999-01-23 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1029 | 31% | 1998-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1997-10-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1997-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 1997-07-04 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1996-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 1996-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1102 | 62% | 1995-07-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1058.3 has a 50.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).