Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 356 (23 on the archive and 333 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 144
Defender wins (Russian): 212
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1263 | 37% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 957 | 952 | 51% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
| 881 | 891 | 49% | 2009-05-24 | Won |
| 1016 | 1015 | 50% | 2007-01-08 | Lost |
| 1118 | 998 | 67% | 2005-12-27 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1101 | 43% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1052 | 57% | 2005-04-30 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1172 | 29% | 2005-02-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 967 | 68% | 2002-12-06 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2002-09-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 613 | 94% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 1141 | 1058 | 62% | 2001-04-20 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1999-10-09 | Won |
| 1292 | 1263 | 54% | 1999-01-23 | Lost |
| 910 | 998 | 38% | 1998-09-05 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1244 | 53% | 1998-05-24 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1997-10-23 | Won |
| 1212 | 1263 | 43% | 1997-10-18 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1997-07-04 | Won |
| 1141 | 1190 | 43% | 1996-05-11 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1096 | 59% | 1996-01-26 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1102 | 58% | 1995-07-09 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1105.6 vs 1068.3 has a 55.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).