Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 346 (14 on the archive and 332 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 141
Defender wins (Russian): 205
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 958 | 1015 | 42% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
| 882 | 892 | 49% | 2009-05-24 | Won |
| 1016 | 1015 | 50% | 2007-01-08 | Lost |
| 1099 | 998 | 64% | 2005-12-27 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1098 | 43% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1085 | 52% | 2005-04-30 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1141 | 35% | 2005-02-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1031 | 60% | 2002-12-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 613 | 94% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 879 | 994 | 34% | 1998-09-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1997-10-23 | Won |
| 1119 | 1091 | 54% | 1996-01-26 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1151 | 45% | 1995-07-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1014.5 has a 54.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).