Chateau de Quesnoy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (French): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2021-10-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1298 | 1081 | 78% | 2015-07-21 | Won |
| 1061 | 1008 | 58% | 2009-09-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 1098 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1098 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 939 | 1037 | 36% | 2006-07-21 | Won |
| 1129 | 965 | 72% | 2001-10-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1993-11-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1014 has a 58.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).