Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
988 | 1034 | 43% | 2023-10-10 | Won |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
1158 | 961 | 76% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
1147 | 876 | 83% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
995 | 970 | 54% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
1138 | 1005 | 68% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
1040 | 920 | 67% | 2018-08-23 | Won |
1051 | 964 | 62% | 2017-11-11 | Won |
1307 | 1043 | 82% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
1093 | 1004 | 63% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
1012 | 1033 | 47% | 2015-03-13 | Won |
1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
963 | 1072 | 35% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
1045 | 919 | 67% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2007-06-12 | Lost |
1074 | 1096 | 47% | 2005-10-16 | Won |
1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-06-14 | Won |
1227 | 940 | 84% | 2004-04-21 | Won |
1118 | 1227 | 35% | 2004-03-12 | Lost |
856 | 1084 | 21% | 1995-07-05 | Lost |
1033 | 989 | 56% | 1993-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1068.3 vs 1018 has a 57.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).