Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (11 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 59
Defender wins (American): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2019-12-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1038 | 52% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1041 | 56% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 929 | 938 | 49% | 2011-06-03 | Won |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2011-06-02 | Won |
| 1125 | 1078 | 57% | 2008-06-21 | Lost |
| 1019 | 790 | 79% | 1998-06-07 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
| 1131 | 847 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062 vs 1002.6 has a 58.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).