Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-04-19 | Lost |
| 913 | 1103 | 25% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 948 | 1033 | 38% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1051 | 38% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 968 | 1117 | 30% | 2019-09-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1151 | 1204 | 42% | 2003-07-10 | Won |
| 1136 | 1003 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1027.1 vs 1062.6 has a 44.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).