Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 884 | 50% | 2024-04-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1151 | 26% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1099 | 34% | 2019-09-10 | Lost |
| 1110 | 955 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 955 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 955 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 955 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 955 | 71% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1129 | 49% | 2003-07-10 | Won |
| 1119 | 1069 | 57% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.3 vs 1011.3 has a 57.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).