Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (17 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1016 | 40% | 2023-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2023-04-21 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1010 | 49% | 2022-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1122 | 1140 | 47% | 2022-01-17 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-04-13 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 897 | 74% | 2019-10-13 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1181 | 41% | 2017-12-09 | | Won |
| 1106 | 985 | 67% | 2017-05-24 | | Won |
| 1023 | 965 | 58% | 2016-08-01 | | Won |
| 1128 | 1023 | 65% | 2016-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2015-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 1993-05-07 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1993-04-11 | | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1038.6 has a 52.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).