Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Italian): 8
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 882 | 1011 | 32% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
| 1116 | 879 | 80% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
| 1112 | 1112 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1102 | 983 | 66% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 927 | 62% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 1155 | 1031 | 67% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 913 | 1158 | 20% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1006 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2007-12-13 | Lost |
| 919 | 1129 | 23% | 1993-05-07 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1049.9 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).