Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 878 | 69% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 904 | 1016 | 34% | 2020-09-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
| 1083 | 1085 | 50% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-08-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2003-08-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1083 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1006 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).