Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2026-10-05 | D | Lost |
| 1056 | 818 | 80% | 2022-11-04 | | Won |
| 979 | 1015 | 45% | 2020-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2019-10-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2006-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2006-08-19 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2003-08-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 987.8 has a 54.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).