Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 536 (71 on the archive and 466 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 275
Defender wins (German): 261
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 992 | 933 | 58% | 2025-11-06 | Won | |
| 1055 | 977 | 61% | 2024-03-10 | Lost | |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2023-06-10 | Lost | |
| 940 | 1017 | 39% | 2023-04-24 | Won | |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2023-04-24 | A | Lost |
| 890 | 1035 | 30% | 2022-04-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2021-02-21 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-10-21 | Lost | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-03-08 | Won | |
| 987 | 1142 | 29% | 2018-11-30 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-06-01 | Won | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-03-27 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-03-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2017-10-06 | Lost | |
| 862 | 1000 | 31% | 2017-09-09 | Won | |
| 1035 | 1038 | 50% | 2017-05-29 | Won | |
| 1048 | 966 | 62% | 2017-04-02 | Won | |
| 1098 | 966 | 68% | 2016-12-03 | Won | |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2016-09-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2016-07-01 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1002 | 45% | 2016-01-15 | Lost | |
| 786 | 1085 | 15% | 2015-08-31 | Won | |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-01-17 | Won | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-11-24 | Lost | |
| 1134 | 1167 | 45% | 2014-11-07 | Won | |
| 1049 | 1147 | 36% | 2014-09-20 | Lost | |
| 1219 | 944 | 83% | 2014-05-22 | Won | |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2014-05-08 | Won | |
| 896 | 1000 | 35% | 2013-11-07 | Won | |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2013-04-30 | Lost | |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-01-09 | Won | |
| 1000 | 856 | 70% | 2012-10-05 | Won | |
| 1141 | 1022 | 66% | 2011-10-07 | Won | |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-06-03 | Lost | |
| 1078 | 981 | 64% | 2010-07-03 | Won | |
| 896 | 1000 | 35% | 2010-05-13 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-10-20 | Won | |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2009-06-08 | Lost | |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-05-08 | Lost | |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-01-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2008-10-26 | Won | |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2008-10-04 | Lost | |
| 989 | 1035 | 43% | 2008-08-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2007-11-30 | Lost | |
| 1201 | 1031 | 73% | 2007-11-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2007-07-28 | Lost | |
| 832 | 1195 | 11% | 2006-06-26 | Lost | |
| 862 | 1099 | 20% | 2006-05-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2006-01-29 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2005-09-19 | Won | |
| 1097 | 1141 | 44% | 2004-11-14 | Lost | |
| 992 | 1006 | 48% | 2004-10-31 | Lost | |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2004-03-20 | Lost | |
| 1151 | 941 | 77% | 2004-01-31 | Lost | |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2003-10-15 | Lost | |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2003-10-15 | Lost | |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2002-02-09 | Lost | |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2002-01-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2002-01-26 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1078 | 49% | 2002-01-21 | Won | |
| 993 | 983 | 51% | 2000-01-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1999-07-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 1998-09-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-06-08 | Lost | |
| 1263 | 1013 | 81% | 1998-03-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 1997-11-11 | Lost | |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 1997-04-05 | Won | |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 1997-04-05 | Won | |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1992-09-15 | Won | |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | Lost |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1030.1 vs 1036.2 has a 49.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).