On the Road to Andalsnes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (9 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Norwegian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 960 | 48% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2022-08-18 | Lost |
| 1027 | 998 | 54% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1048 | 984 | 59% | 2014-01-08 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-04-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 960 | 44% | 2008-05-10 | Lost |
| 961 | 958 | 50% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1152 | 36% | 1999-09-24 | Won |
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 1992-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1011.2 vs 1029.2 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).