On the Road to Andalsnes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Norwegian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1045 | 37% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2022-08-18 | Lost |
| 1053 | 994 | 58% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 940 | 983 | 44% | 2014-01-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2012-04-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1045 | 33% | 2008-05-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 958 | 52% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1126 | 41% | 1999-09-24 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1000.4 vs 1034.5 has a 45.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).