A Meeting of Patrols
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (27 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 63
Defender wins (German (SS)): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2024-07-03 | | Tied |
| 1138 | 901 | 80% | 2023-12-16 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2023-03-15 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-11-25 | | Lost |
| 808 | 960 | 29% | 2022-06-24 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1134 | 26% | 2020-09-11 | | Lost |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2019-03-30 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2016-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2014-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2013-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1134 | 33% | 2013-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-03-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2007-01-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-03-01 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2006-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2004-10-04 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1096 | 35% | 2002-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1160 | 49% | 2001-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1044.1 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).