Cold Crocodiles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 425 (63 on the archive and 363 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 197
Defender wins (German): 228
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1214 | 27% | 2026-03-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2025-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2025-01-19 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2024-03-08 | | Won |
| 977 | 999 | 47% | 2024-03-06 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1200 | 30% | 2023-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2022-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 992 | 68% | 2021-05-23 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 944 | 63% | 2021-04-21 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1106 | 66% | 2021-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1038 | 49% | 2021-01-09 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2020-10-13 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2020-09-10 | | Won |
| 780 | 1031 | 19% | 2020-09-09 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2020-07-17 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-05-15 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1003 | 49% | 2020-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1258 | 35% | 2019-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2019-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1031 | 57% | 2018-11-17 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1222 | 22% | 2017-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 996 | 65% | 2016-11-04 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2015-12-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 891 | 74% | 2013-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2013-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-01-15 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1147 | 50% | 2011-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2009-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2009-10-07 | | Won |
| 1152 | 906 | 80% | 2009-09-21 | | Won |
| 1149 | 952 | 76% | 2009-07-31 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1031 | 74% | 2009-06-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2008-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1151 | 38% | 2007-09-08 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2007-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1209 | 27% | 2007-08-19 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1435 | 16% | 2007-04-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2007-02-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 922 | 61% | 2006-11-09 | | Won |
| 1088 | 961 | 68% | 2006-08-13 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2005-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2004-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1121 | 907 | 77% | 2003-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2002-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1019 | 87% | 2001-08-19 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1056 | 47% | 2001-01-26 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2000-12-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2000-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 1999-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 1998-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 1998-03-20 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 1998-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 989 | 80% | 1995-11-03 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1156 | 42% | 1995-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 1993-07-09 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 1993-07-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1050.9 has a 52.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).