Last Act in Lorraine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (6 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2007-09-11 | | Won |
| 1150 | 832 | 86% | 2003-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2002-10-30 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2001-09-25 | | Won |
| 1029 | 909 | 67% | 2000-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1993-08-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1095 vs 970.7 has a 67.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).