Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1210 | 21% | 2025-07-31 | Lost |
| 964 | 1009 | 44% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 948 | 63% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1060 | 61% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1139 | 977 | 72% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1071 | 1039 | 55% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1220 | 1212 | 51% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 1039 | 1131 | 37% | 2014-06-03 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 906 | 975 | 40% | 2011-09-16 | Won |
| 1085 | 1019 | 59% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1129 | 37% | 2010-09-10 | Won |
| 1046 | 1233 | 25% | 2009-01-11 | Won |
| 1087 | 1040 | 57% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1099 | 44% | 2006-07-15 | Won |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2006-01-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1263 | 976 | 84% | 2002-12-15 | Won |
| 1026 | 1048 | 47% | 1999-11-13 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1113 | 38% | 1999-09-06 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 1999-06-30 | Lost |
| 900 | 1036 | 31% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1039 | 1021 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1069.9 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).