Cream of the Crop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1215 | 28% | 2024-12-08 | Lost |
| 1128 | 985 | 69% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 970 | 927 | 56% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 889 | 1142 | 19% | 2023-11-26 | Won |
| 1042 | 951 | 63% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1074 | 906 | 72% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1046 | 980 | 59% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1094 | 50% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 878 | 1007 | 32% | 2021-11-24 | Lost |
| 1271 | 1007 | 82% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 995 | 970 | 54% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 943 | 977 | 45% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1041 | 57% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 897 | 1039 | 31% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1199 | 960 | 80% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
| 914 | 896 | 53% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
| 1017 | 901 | 66% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 892 | 1041 | 30% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1310 | 968 | 88% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 1009 | 45% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 1209 | 43% | 2015-07-01 | Tied |
| 1125 | 1043 | 62% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1026 | 55% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1125 | 975 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1110 | 36% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-09 | Won |
| 1150 | 955 | 75% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 964 | 1017 | 42% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
| 943 | 1073 | 32% | 2009-01-22 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1228 | 39% | 2008-10-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
| 927 | 897 | 54% | 2005-03-10 | Lost |
| 1170 | 989 | 74% | 2005-01-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 887 | 928 | 44% | 2004-03-15 | Won |
| 986 | 928 | 58% | 2004-01-01 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1128 | 48% | 2000-06-03 | Won |
| 1065 | 1241 | 27% | 2000-05-26 | Lost |
| 1041 | 835 | 77% | 1999-10-07 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1122 | 47% | 1999-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1024.7 has a 52.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).