Swamp Cats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1018 | 66% | 2024-05-09 | Won |
| 915 | 1178 | 18% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1019 | 923 | 63% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1085 | 941 | 70% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 978 | 755 | 78% | 2022-10-24 | Won |
| 929 | 1138 | 23% | 2018-09-21 | Won |
| 1143 | 1091 | 57% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 920 | 73% | 2011-10-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 962 | 74% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1090 | 1193 | 36% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1228 | 32% | 2009-02-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1032 | 65% | 2005-10-04 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1037 | 79% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1196 | 1174 | 53% | 2004-09-04 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1037 | 60% | 2003-10-05 | Won |
| 1122 | 999 | 67% | 2003-01-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1016 | 67% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
| 1138 | 1074 | 59% | 2002-08-10 | Lost |
| 1177 | 984 | 75% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 1293 | 1034 | 82% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1110.3 vs 1036.7 has a 60.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).