L'Abbaye Blanche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1017 | 1266 | 19% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
933 | 1066 | 32% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
1066 | 933 | 68% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
1132 | 977 | 71% | 2022-01-20 | Won |
1009 | 958 | 57% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
966 | 1150 | 26% | 2021-03-12 | Won |
950 | 1084 | 32% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
959 | 1219 | 18% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2017-10-31 | Lost |
977 | 1132 | 29% | 2017-10-10 | Lost |
950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
1264 | 1003 | 82% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
869 | 1199 | 13% | 2016-05-30 | Won |
1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
1058 | 1026 | 55% | 2016-02-10 | Won |
1058 | 966 | 63% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
1073 | 1223 | 30% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
977 | 1132 | 29% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
951 | 1098 | 30% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
885 | 1007 | 33% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
963 | 983 | 47% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
1066 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
897 | 1046 | 30% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
1154 | 1228 | 40% | 2011-05-27 | Lost |
1228 | 1010 | 78% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
945 | 1111 | 28% | 2005-12-11 | Lost |
1041 | 1064 | 47% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
947 | 928 | 53% | 2004-08-28 | Lost |
1170 | 945 | 79% | 2004-05-07 | Won |
1084 | 950 | 68% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2001-12-15 | Won |
848 | 1019 | 27% | 2000-12-28 | Lost |
1122 | 978 | 70% | 1998-12-20 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
1150 | 1080 | 60% | 1997-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1040.6 vs 1056.2 has a 47.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).