The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1256 | 13% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1141 | 53% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 981 | 998 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 981 | 1217 | 20% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 981 | 46% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1091 | 46% | 2015-02-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1107 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 927 | 78% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 927 | 984 | 42% | 2012-03-12 | Won |
| 1143 | 962 | 74% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2011-03-07 | Won |
| 1198 | 1045 | 71% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1071.9 has a 48.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).