Barkmann's Corner
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (11 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German (SS)): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 818 | 1056 | 20% | 2022-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 847 | 71% | 2019-07-09 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2019-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2019-05-04 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2014-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2012-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2010-03-13 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2009-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2002-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1065 | 41% | 1995-04-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1040.5 has a 46.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).