Ripe Pickings
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (12 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 692 | 88% | 2020-07-06 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1035 | 12% | 2020-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2017-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2017-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-05-11 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2013-03-19 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2012-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2010-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2004-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2003-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1993-04-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1014.3 vs 984.1 has a 54.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).