Guryev's Headquarters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (50 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 912 | 81% | 2024-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2024-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2024-02-01 | | Won |
| 1161 | 1038 | 67% | 2023-07-08 | D | Lost |
| 1176 | 1167 | 51% | 2023-07-05 | | Won |
| 890 | 1017 | 32% | 2023-01-13 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2020-04-02 | | Lost |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2020-02-15 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-01-13 | | Won |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2019-12-03 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2019-02-23 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1008 | 44% | 2018-08-10 | | Lost |
| 943 | 966 | 47% | 2018-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2018-07-28 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-07-17 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-11-11 | | Tied |
| 1060 | 966 | 63% | 2017-04-04 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2016-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2016-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-02-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2012-12-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2012-12-16 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-04-04 | | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2010-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2010-07-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2010-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-03-27 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1090 | 33% | 2010-03-13 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2010-01-30 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-10-19 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-06-27 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2006-12-20 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2006-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2006-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2004-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2004-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2003-12-20 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1127 | 40% | 2003-10-09 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2002-08-27 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-06-14 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2000-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2000-08-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 1999-04-17 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 1996-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1995-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 1995-08-01 | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1019.1 has a 52.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).