A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (14 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Canadian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1108 | 47% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1068 | 74% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1030 | 1089 | 42% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 969 | 1028 | 42% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1066 | 42% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 931 | 1129 | 24% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1113 | 56% | 2006-03-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1127 | 46% | 2003-10-12 | Lost |
| 1238 | 986 | 81% | 2003-04-16 | Won |
| 1292 | 1263 | 54% | 2003-02-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1086.3 vs 1084.7 has a 50.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).