The Good Shepherd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Canadian): 5
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1091 | 949 | 69% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1187 | 1074 | 66% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1011 | 73% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
| 1169 | 936 | 79% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1159 | 36% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1031 | 78% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 975 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1034 | 57% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 927 | 67% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
| 1310 | 1213 | 64% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1014 | 982 | 55% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1120 | 51% | 2006-01-27 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1074 | 49% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1118.3 vs 1047.9 has a 59.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).