Lambs Led to Slaughter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (18 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 49
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1115 | 34% | 2026-02-20 | | Won |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2024-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2020-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2019-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 981 | 56% | 2019-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2018-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1145 | 34% | 2017-10-07 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-07-05 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2011-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2010-12-10 | | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2010-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2008-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1040 | 66% | 2007-03-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2007-03-09 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2006-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1164 | 48% | 2005-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2004-06-01 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2003-03-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1042.2 has a 52.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).