Lambs Led to Slaughter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (17 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 48
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 904 | 66% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1173 | 37% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2019-07-31 | Lost |
| 1031 | 950 | 61% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 964 | 59% | 2018-12-20 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1124 | 40% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1274 | 1135 | 69% | 2017-07-05 | Won |
| 1143 | 880 | 82% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1099 | 985 | 66% | 2010-12-10 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2010-11-10 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1079 | 67% | 2008-08-23 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1068 | 65% | 2007-03-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 1068 | 48% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2006-01-03 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1158 | 53% | 2005-05-13 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2004-06-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1092 | 51% | 2003-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1101.6 vs 1028.8 has a 60.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).