Tussle at Thomashof
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2021-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1037 | 64% | 2021-11-20 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2004-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2003-10-01 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2003-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1999-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1242 | 34% | 1998-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1998-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 1993-04-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1114.9 has a 37.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).