The Sand Spit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (8 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 18
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2024-10-05 | | Won |
| 1150 | 957 | 75% | 2023-08-15 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1150 | 33% | 2021-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2020-08-16 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2015-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 974 | 64% | 2013-09-21 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2007-04-18 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2002-12-12 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1074.6 vs 1020.4 has a 57.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).