The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (British): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 986 | 63% | 2021-09-26 | | Won |
| 732 | 1258 | 5% | 2021-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-12-13 | | Won |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2017-03-30 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1055 | 48% | 2014-03-28 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2011-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2009-09-20 | | Won |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2008-08-04 | | Won |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1105 | 49% | 2004-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2003-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1122 | 1134 | 48% | 2000-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2000-05-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1055.6 has a 51.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).