China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (16 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 20
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 848 | 999 | 30% | 2026-05-21 | Won |
| 924 | 869 | 58% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1070 | 937 | 68% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1233 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1070 | 848 | 78% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1070 | 848 | 78% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 848 | 1070 | 22% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 848 | 1070 | 22% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1162 | 1076 | 62% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 943 | 1084 | 31% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1094 | 52% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 990.9 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).