China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (15 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 869 | 58% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1058 | 941 | 66% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 859 | 77% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1071 | 859 | 77% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 859 | 1071 | 23% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 859 | 1071 | 23% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1041 | 60% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1164 | 1198 | 45% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 941 | 1024 | 38% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1012 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1028.1 vs 985.3 has a 56.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).