China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (15 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 869 | 58% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1067 | 879 | 75% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1067 | 879 | 75% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 879 | 1067 | 25% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 879 | 1067 | 25% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1085 | 48% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1158 | 1177 | 47% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 942 | 1029 | 38% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1037 | 59% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 994.3 has a 55.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).