Howard's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (British): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 897 | 49% | 2024-09-11 | Won |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2019-08-06 | Won |
| 931 | 1031 | 36% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 944 | 1054 | 35% | 2014-02-22 | Lost |
| 944 | 1054 | 35% | 2014-02-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
| 884 | 870 | 52% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 982 | 1014 | 45% | 2009-05-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1014 | 45% | 2009-04-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 994 | 50% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 994 | 65% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 1011 | 963 | 57% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
| 1119 | 1069 | 57% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1003.1 vs 1013.7 has a 48.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).