Beast at Bay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (4 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2018-08-20 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1997-12-31 | | Won |
| 972 | 1056 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1020.5 vs 1039.3 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).