The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1144 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
| 931 | 1031 | 36% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1141 | 29% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1129 | 43% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 906 | 1214 | 15% | 2018-01-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1008 | 46% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1003 | 812 | 75% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 996 | 64% | 2010-04-08 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-10-27 | Won |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2005-06-17 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1046 | 57% | 2005-06-01 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1041 | 62% | 1999-04-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1997-12-21 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1038.9 has a 49.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).