Probing the Villas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-05-07 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1009 | 56% | 2023-05-05 | Lost |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1128 | 53% | 2019-06-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2002-12-30 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1997-12-17 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1106.3 vs 1061.4 has a 56.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).