Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 877 | 970 | 37% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1066 | 1051 | 52% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1008 | 46% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 958 | 897 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1119 | 44% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1110 | 33% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 919 | 1014 | 37% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1228 | 21% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 949 | 1011 | 41% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1129 | 49% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1072.3 has a 46.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).