Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 930 | 71% | 2024-12-29 | Lost |
| 1028 | 971 | 58% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1025 | 74% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1204 | 1047 | 71% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 910 | 1080 | 27% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1057.5 has a 48.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).