Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1045 | 63% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1126 | 1067 | 58% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1058 | 42% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 968 | 1023 | 42% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1077.1 has a 44.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).