Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 968 | 66% | 2024-12-29 | Lost |
| 1035 | 973 | 59% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1166 | 49% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1170 | 1048 | 67% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 941 | 1022 | 39% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.6 vs 1040.8 has a 47.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).