Shadows of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (15 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2025-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2025-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2024-12-22 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2023-03-28 | | Tied |
| 818 | 1056 | 20% | 2023-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2017-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-12-14 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2010-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2008-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1160 | 1150 | 51% | 2003-02-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1997-12-07 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 1062.1 has a 48.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).