The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (20 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1026 | 46% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1071 | 39% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 968 | 1135 | 28% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 904 | 66% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1204 | 968 | 80% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 983 | 72% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1085 | 693 | 91% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 986 | 1042 | 42% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 1090 | 55% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1178 | 44% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 913 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1053 | 1053 | 50% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1178 | 1053 | 67% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1177 | 1163 | 52% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1085 | 51% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1037 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1074.7 vs 1023.5 has a 57.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).