The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1026 | 46% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1066 | 988 | 61% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 968 | 1135 | 28% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 900 | 65% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1017 | 968 | 57% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1039 | 58% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1154 | 983 | 73% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 972 | 1040 | 40% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1122 | 1163 | 44% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1135 | 1177 | 44% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 913 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1177 | 985 | 75% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1200 | 1160 | 56% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1064 | 49% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1028 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1013 has a 58.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).