The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (20 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1026 | 43% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 968 | 1135 | 28% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1190 | 968 | 78% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1137 | 983 | 71% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1080 | 693 | 90% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 1033 | 1040 | 49% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 1110 | 52% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1142 | 1204 | 41% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 913 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1048 | 71% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1204 | 1164 | 56% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1093 | 51% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1003 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1077.4 vs 1022.2 has a 57.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).