To the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 874 | 877 | 50% | 2026-02-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1222 | 25% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 850 | 72% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1042 | 960 | 62% | 2022-03-01 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
| 1038 | 1234 | 24% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2019-05-03 | Won |
| 930 | 1041 | 35% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2017-08-01 | Won |
| 1118 | 1133 | 48% | 2015-12-12 | Won |
| 755 | 1073 | 14% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1007 | 53% | 2012-02-27 | Won |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1188 | 43% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2008-01-30 | Won |
| 930 | 919 | 52% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1005 | 79% | 2007-09-16 | Won |
| 917 | 1076 | 29% | 2006-07-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2006-02-05 | Won |
| 1062 | 1050 | 52% | 2006-01-24 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1062 | 67% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 969 | 1141 | 27% | 2002-11-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1085 | 38% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1166 | 51% | 2001-05-15 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-01-18 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2000-01-10 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1055.4 has a 47.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).