Counterattack on the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (30 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1112 | 52% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 967 | 1019 | 43% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1175 | 34% | 2020-10-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1226 | 23% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
| 931 | 950 | 47% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 1001 | 1173 | 27% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
| 1057 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 950 | 1075 | 33% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 970 | 985 | 48% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1163 | 1139 | 53% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 840 | 82% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 959 | 69% | 2017-06-27 | Won |
| 991 | 878 | 66% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 975 | 1039 | 41% | 2016-06-18 | Lost |
| 918 | 1098 | 26% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2015-01-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2014-07-07 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 1059 | 963 | 63% | 2012-08-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1044 | 47% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
| 1073 | 1083 | 49% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 945 | 1117 | 27% | 2007-04-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1423 | 8% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1423 | 9% | 2006-07-16 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1111 | 57% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 966 | 66% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1041.6 vs 1071.8 has a 45.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).