Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (36 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2026-07-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2025-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2023-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2023-01-30 | | Won |
| 1283 | 901 | 90% | 2022-07-23 | | Won |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2022-01-31 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-11-22 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2019-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1134 | 36% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 1154 | 973 | 74% | 2019-02-16 | | Won |
| 948 | 1055 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1055 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 904 | 70% | 2018-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2017-06-23 | | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2016-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1283 | 40% | 2016-06-29 | | Tied |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2016-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1007 | 57% | 2016-01-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2015-12-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-11-14 | | Won |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2014-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2014-07-20 | | Won |
| 910 | 1124 | 23% | 2014-07-04 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1027 | 57% | 2014-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1074 | 43% | 2013-04-25 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-04-10 | | Lost |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 2013-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2009-11-01 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2005-09-10 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2003-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2000-04-23 | | Won |
| 1343 | 919 | 92% | 1999-10-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1999-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 1999-01-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1050.8 vs 1063.1 has a 48.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).