Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (34 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1313 | 31% | 2026-04-18 | Lost |
| 993 | 1099 | 35% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1152 | 931 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 972 | 1172 | 24% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1024 | 1020 | 51% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1117 | 1063 | 58% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1063 | 1117 | 42% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 950 | 979 | 46% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1040 | 60% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 958 | 1063 | 35% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 941 | 1135 | 25% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1234 | 1114 | 67% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1071 | 996 | 61% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 920 | 958 | 45% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1099 | 55% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1083 | 67% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1234 | 982 | 81% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 870 | 1005 | 31% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1034 | 38% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 967 | 1209 | 20% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 1263 | 978 | 84% | 2000-07-15 | Won |
| 1263 | 1094 | 73% | 1999-04-30 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1999-04-25 | Won |
| 911 | 1189 | 17% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1075.3 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).