Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (35 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 887 | 71% | 2026-10-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2026-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1310 | 29% | 2026-04-18 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 1095 | 945 | 70% | 2021-05-06 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-10-24 | | Won |
| 972 | 1172 | 24% | 2020-09-12 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1019 | 50% | 2020-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2020-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2020-01-14 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2018-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1104 | 49% | 2018-11-03 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-06-01 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-10-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2016-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-01-03 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1133 | 28% | 2014-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2013-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2013-04-03 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2012-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2012-06-09 | | Won |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2010-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2009-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 981 | 80% | 2009-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2009-09-29 | | Won |
| 952 | 1034 | 38% | 2006-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 978 | 82% | 2000-07-15 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1999-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1999-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1993-06-11 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1077.2 vs 1047.9 has a 54.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).