Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 189 (29 on the archive and 160 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 84
Defender wins (Russian): 105
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1014 | 41% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1031 | 977 | 58% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1149 | 932 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 1005 | 1165 | 28% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1029 | 59% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1111 | 1116 | 49% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1116 | 1111 | 51% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1041 | 58% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 961 | 1116 | 29% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 1111 | 76% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1067 | 994 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1137 | 56% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 931 | 946 | 48% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1014 | 45% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1081 | 59% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1310 | 992 | 86% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 1001 | 32% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1218 | 25% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 911 | 1129 | 22% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1058.4 has a 50.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).