The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 936 | 48% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1067 | 994 | 60% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1165 | 20% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1165 | 42% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1041 | 40% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1129 | 62% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1214 | 1173 | 56% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 939 | 1058 | 34% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 931 | 1058 | 32% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 961 | 1116 | 29% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 931 | 63% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1015 | 56% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1255 | 21% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 956 | 1058 | 36% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 936 | 68% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 827 | 927 | 36% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1069 | 985 | 62% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1016 vs 1050.9 has a 44.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).