The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 993 | 75% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 954 | 994 | 44% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1028 | 1016 | 52% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 975 | 63% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1173 | 41% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1041 | 40% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1155 | 59% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1218 | 1159 | 58% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 939 | 1072 | 32% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1044 | 35% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 960 | 1145 | 26% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 939 | 61% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1206 | 26% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 956 | 1057 | 36% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 921 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 827 | 908 | 39% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1114 | 38% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1027.1 vs 1055.9 has a 45.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).