On the Borderline
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1168 | 35% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 943 | 977 | 45% | 2023-09-28 | Won |
| 951 | 1037 | 38% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 913 | 1010 | 36% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2021-04-24 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 951 | 1199 | 19% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 877 | 64% | 2016-10-15 | Won |
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2010-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 996.4 vs 1033.2 has a 44.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).