The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Finnish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1037 | 55% | 2026-01-27 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2022-08-05 | | Won |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2021-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-07-01 | | Won |
| 1035 | 938 | 64% | 2020-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2020-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2016-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-02-28 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2012-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1074 | 41% | 1999-04-16 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1023.4 vs 1025.3 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).