The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 956 | 906 | 57% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1162 | 831 | 87% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
| 1241 | 1221 | 53% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1019 | 938 | 61% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 748 | 1189 | 7% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1199 | 38% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 921 | 63% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 748 | 877 | 32% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 994.4 vs 1005.8 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).