The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1069 | 931 | 69% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1173 | 812 | 89% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
| 1129 | 1030 | 64% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 994 | 931 | 59% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1116 | 49% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1015 | 921 | 63% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 1014 | 881 | 68% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1144 | 42% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1008 | 46% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 996.2 has a 57.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).