Dreil Team
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (38 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 50
Defender wins (German ): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2025-12-19 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1013 | 60% | 2025-10-04 | Lost |
| 1083 | 950 | 68% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 1023 | 876 | 70% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 876 | 1023 | 30% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 971 | 52% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 971 | 62% | 2024-12-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 971 | 62% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 950 | 994 | 44% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1135 | 950 | 74% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 885 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1279 | 981 | 85% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 976 | 55% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 956 | 986 | 46% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 1035 | 38% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1143 | 34% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1239 | 1419 | 26% | 2016-11-30 | Lost |
| 987 | 950 | 55% | 2016-05-01 | Won |
| 927 | 1011 | 38% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1112 | 950 | 72% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1173 | 976 | 76% | 2015-12-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1138 | 38% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Won |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
| 929 | 1034 | 35% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1274 | 30% | 2004-12-11 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2004-10-28 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1037 | 48% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1030.3 has a 49.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).