Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 13
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1155 | 38% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
| 944 | 937 | 51% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1137 | 939 | 76% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 853 | 1158 | 15% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 973 | 908 | 59% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1026 | 1138 | 34% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1002 vs 1041.4 has a 44.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).