Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (8 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1113 | 44% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
| 944 | 947 | 50% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 955 | 1097 | 31% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1138 | 939 | 76% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 961 | 885 | 61% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 1153 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 996 vs 1028.3 has a 45.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).