A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (18 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1024 | 66% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1035 | 73% | 2021-04-26 | Won |
| 971 | 1028 | 42% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 1025 | 948 | 61% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1025 | 974 | 57% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1150 | 756 | 91% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1174 | 858 | 86% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1090 | 41% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1137 | 33% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1078 | 54% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1083 | 48% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 969 | 968 | 50% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1025 | 74% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1100.6 vs 1021.6 has a 61.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).