A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (17 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 989 | 64% | 2024-02-10 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2022-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1013 | 77% | 2022-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1036 | 67% | 2021-04-26 | | Won |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2020-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2020-06-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2018-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 692 | 93% | 2017-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2016-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2016-12-27 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2016-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2014-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1147 | 44% | 2013-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2012-08-26 | | Lost |
| 962 | 974 | 48% | 2012-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2007-12-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1087.5 vs 1007.4 has a 61.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).